Winfield, AL Hazardous Weather Outlook

Winfield, Alabama

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 132 PM CDT FRI MAY 9 2008
Expiration: 130 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL...ARE POSSIBLE AFTER 6 PM THIS EVENING.  THE AREA WITH THE
GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS FROM THE CITIES OF EUTAW...
CLANTON...AND ASHVILLE...NORTHWARD.

A POCKET OF WARM AIR ALOFT HAS DECREASED THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
FOR THIS AFTERNOON.  HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP IN A MORE
FAVORABLE AREA TO ALABAMA`S WEST THIS AFTERNOON...AND THEN MOVE INTO
NORTH ALABAMA THIS EVENING.  DEPENDING ON HOW THESE STORMS EVOLVE IF
AND AFTER THEY DEVELOP...THEY MAY CONTAIN A SMALL TORNADO THREAT AS
WELL.

IF THE STORMS REMAIN ISOLATED TONIGHT...THEN THE SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT WOULD LIKELY END RELATIVELY EARLY TONIGHT.  HOWEVER...IF
ENOUGH STORMS DEVELOP AND CONSOLIDATE...THEN THE SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT COULD LAST ALL THE WAY TO 5 OR 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS...
LARGE HAIL...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES...ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA
LATE SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY.  THE TIME OF HIGHEST SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT IS FROM AROUND MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO AROUND NOON
ON SUNDAY...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

AS IS OFTEN THE CASE...THERE IS A HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY
REGARDING THE EXACT TIMING AND EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM...AND LATER
ADJUSTMENTS WILL LIKELY BE NECESSARY.

FINALLY...THERE IS A SMALL RISK OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL
OF CENTRAL ALABAMA ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  FORECAST CONFIDENCE
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS RATHER LOW AT THIS POINT.  IF
CONFIDENCE LATER INCREASES..THEN A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT MAY NEED
TO BE INTRODUCED IN LATER OUTLOOKS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MAY BE
NEEDED OVERNIGHT TIGHT...AND AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY... DUE
TO THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.