Kiwanis Park, TX Hazardous Weather Outlook

Kiwanis Park, Texas

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 1155 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2008
Expiration: 700 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ESPECIALLY TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF OKLAHOMA
AND NORTH TEXAS DURING THE PERIOD AS WINDS AT MID LEVELS BRING THE
REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NORBERT NORTHEASTWARD. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST ACROSS KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ARRIVING NEAR
THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF OKLAHOMA BY SUNRISE MONDAY.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ACROSS THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES THROUGH TONIGHT...AND MAY ALSO DEVELOP ALONG THE COLD
FRONT OVERNIGHT. WITH MARGINAL LEVELS OF INSTABILITY PRESENT...THESE
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT MONDAY OCT 13.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...60 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...10 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
SOUTH WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL OCCUR OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA
THIS AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO AFFECT
MOTORCYCLES AND HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES... ESPECIALLY ON EAST-WEST
ORIENTED ROADWAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP SOUTHEASTWARD ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THE COLD FRONT WILL
EVENTUALLY LEAVE A STABLE AIRMASS IN ITS WAKE...AND THUNDERSTORMS
SHOULD EXIT THE REGION BY WEDNESDAY. BEYOND
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
AS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD AT MID LEVELS...AN
AXIS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS AREAS OF
NORTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF OVER FIVE INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN FAR NORTHWESTERN
OKLAHOMA FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY. CHANGES IN THE
PROGRESSION OF THE COLD FRONT COULD MOVE THIS AXIS OF RAINFALL A
LITTLE TO THE NORTHWEST OR SOUTHEAST.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 7 AM
MONDAY.