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FLOOD WATCH
Warning Issue Date: 339 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008
...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
* EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
VOLUSIA...INDIAN RIVER...MARTIN...BREVARD...LAKE...
OKEECHOBEE...ORANGE...OSCEOLA...SEMINOLE...AND ST. LUCIE.
* THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
* RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF THREE TO SIX INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WHILE THE HIGHEST
RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT NORTH TODAY...THE SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL REMAIN VULNERABLE TO
FLOODING DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY RAIN THAT OCCURRED ON TUESDAY.
* RAINFALL TOTALS FROM FAY THUS FAR...
RAINFALL TUESDAY TOPPED 10 INCHES AT JENSEN BEACH...WITH SEVERAL
REPORTS OF 7 TO 9 INCHES ALONG THE TREASURE COAST. MANY AREAS
HAD RAINFALL ABOVE 5 INCHES TUESDAY THAT EXTENDED NORTHWARD
INTO OSCEOLA AND BREVARD COUNTIES.
A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECAST FOR TROPICAL STORM FAY.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR ADDITIONAL
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION SHOULD ADDITIONAL FLOODING DEVELOP.
$$
GLITTO TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING
Warning Issue Date: 616 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS JUST OFFSHORE CAPE CANAVERAL...WITH A
CREEPING FORWARD MOTION TO THE NORTH ALONG THE COASTLINE. FAY IS
FORECAST TO TRACK JUST OFFSHORE THE BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTY
COAST THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE HEADING BACK WEST NEAR DAYTONA
BEACH THURSDAY MORNING. SINCE FAY WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO LAND...IT NO
LONGER IS EXPECTED TO REINTENSIFY AND SHOULD STAY AT TROPICAL
STORM STRENGTH. FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST ACROSS NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF FLORIDA THROUGH FRIDAY.
...WINDS...
THE CURRENT FORECAST TURNS FAY TO THE NORTHWEST WHERE IT IS EXPECTED
TO MAKE ANOTHER FLORIDA LANDFALL ALONG THE UPPER VOLUSIA COAST
OVERNIGHT...AND CONTINUE CONTINUE WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS NORTH
FLORIDA THURSDAY. AS A RESULT...THE WIND DIRECTION WILL SHIFT FROM
THE WEST AND NORTHWEST TONIGHT TO THE SOUTHWEST THURSDAY.
THE THREAT FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT
AND INCREASE THURSDAY. WINDS WILL STILL FREQUENTLY REACH 25 MPH...
AND UP TO 40 MPH IN SQUALLS TONIGHT. AS FAY MOVES ACROSS NORTH
FLORIDA THURSDAY...STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE...40
TO 45 MPH...CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY ACROSS
INLAND VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN LAKE COUNTIES.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AT 5 PM...HEAVY RAIN WAS OCCURRING OVER BREVARD AND INDIAN RIVER
COUNTIES AND ROTATING AROUND THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE CENTER OF FAY.
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION HAS ERUPTED ON FAYS SOUTH AND EAST
SIDE...AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO IMPACT INLAND SECTIONS OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTH AND WEST OF ORLANDO THIS EVENING.
HOWEVER...ONCE FAY MAKES ITS WESTWARD TURN...HEAVY
RAIN...POSSIBLY FLOODING RAIN...MAY MOVE ACROSS THIS FORECAST
AREA AS RAINBANDS ROTATE AROUND FROM THE NORTH.
A FEW PLACES HAVE RECEIVED 3 TO 5 INCHES IN WEST VOLUSIA COUNTY
AND NORTH LAKE COUNTY...MAINLY BETWEEN DELTONA AND ASTOR. AN
ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN MAY OCCUR.
ON THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER BETWEEN LAKE HARNEY AND ASTOR...THERE IS
CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. THE LATEST STAGE HEIGHTS AT LAKE
HARNEY...SANFORD...DELAND...AND ASTOR ARE ALL BELOW RIVER FLOOD
STAGE. RAIN TOTALS ALONG THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WILL INCREASE NORTH
OF LAKE HARNEY LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. AS OF THIS
MORNING...THE STAGE AT ASTOR IS EXPECTED TO REACH 2.5 FEET BY LATE
FRIDAY ABOVE THE ACTION STAGE OF 2.3 FEET...BUT BELOW FLOOD STAGE
OF 2.8 FEET. AREA INTERESTS SHOULD WATCH FOR POSSIBLE LONGER TERM
RIVER FLOODING AT ASTOR OVER THE COMING DAYS. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS IF CONTINUED HEAVY RAIN MATERIALIZES WITHIN
THE BASIN.
...TORNADOES...
TONIGHT...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM DAYTONA BEACH
NORTHWARD...AND INLAND TO NEAR SANFORD AND LEESBURG. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS.
CONSEQUENTLY...THERE IS AN ELEVATED THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM
TORNADOES. THE OCCURRENCE OF TORNADOES IS POSSIBLE...BUT LESS
LIKELY THAN SO. PEOPLE IN THE LOCAL AREA SHOULD PREPARE FOR AT
LEAST A LOW IMPACT FROM TORNADOES...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED LOCATIONS TO EXPERIENCE MINOR TO MODERATE
DAMAGE. IF A TORNADO DOES OCCUR...IT SHOULD BE BRIEF AND SHORT
LIVED.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 9 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
$$
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